I. Growth rates and carrying capacity
A. definition of a population
- various distribution patterns fig. 9-2
B. growth rate is determined several factors:
1. growth rate = (b + i) - (d + e). This rate is called the intrinsic rate of increase, and is designated “r” in equations
2. the carrying capacity (“K”) of a population is the maximum amount that can be sustained
3. factors that limit (environmental resistance) or enhance (biotic potential) growth fig. 9-3
C. Exponential growth – fig. 9-4
D. Logistic growth – fig. 9-5
E. examples of growth curves fig. 9-6 and 9-7 and 9-8
1. density-independent growth occurs when population size is determined by habitat disruptions. Populations growing in this manner are called “r-selected”
2. density-dependent growth occurs when ecological relationships determine population size. These populations are termed “K-selected”
3. comparison of r- and K- selected species fig. 9-9 and 9-10
- parental care is a characteristic - check out these pictures of a hummingbird caring for her eggs!
4. predators and prey sometimes cycle together fig. 9-8 (lynx and hare) and wolves and moose on Isle Royale
5. survivorship curves show the percentage of a population surviving over time - fig. 9-11
F. sampling/recording population growth
1. census
2. estimating
3. capture/mark/recapture
4. counting evidence (scat, etc.) | check out some research on deer, dragonfly, and other animal populations
II. History of human population growth/demographics
A. Worldwide human growth patterns
1. growth rates have slowed since the 1950s (fig. 10-5)
2. current growth rates vary around the world (fig. 10-4)
3. current population and projections for 2025 in leading countries (fig. 10-4)
4. fertility rates differ from growth rates. Check out worldwide trends in fig. 10-7, and US history in 10-8
5. projection for world population in 2050 – fig. 10-6
- latest statistics and information from population connection
- more statistics - life expentancy, employment, etc, by country
- US Census information
- Earth Trends has lots of maps and data
- CIA Factbook - compare countries
- Nationmaster - demographic data on countries
- Formulas, examples, and definitions
- maps of humans population through history
- The "rule of 70" can be used to estimate doubling times
6. Population age structure diagrams - p. 184-187
B. what factors influence the drop in fertility and overall population growth seen in developed countries?
1. education, economics, access to birth control
2. infant mortality
3. age structure of populations influences growth rates counties with a high percentage of younger people will continue to grow even when fertility levels drop (see previous section)
4. demographic transition - fig. 10-20
III. Problems related to population growth
A. resource limitations food, water, raw materials, fuel
- is food shortage a problem? (see chapter 14)
- jobs and caring for the elderly – fig. 10-19
- these interactive maps have more info on resource depletion
- compare the possessions of typical families in different countries - can the whole world live like the United States?
- Mapping human consumption patterns
B. Overcrowding
- creation of environmental refugees and social unrest
- spread of disease
C. uncontrolled development ("sprawl") leading to habitat loss and species extinction (the east coast problem!!) (more on sprawl)
- use the UN Atlas of our changing environment to see how development has changed the landscape in many areas
- growth in the past 30 years: Beijing | Miami | Las Vegas | Mexico city
D. Pollution problems increase if other factors remain constant
IV. Solutions to the problems of population growth
- Population Connection website has lots of good info
A. the demographic transition developed countries have followed this progression through four stages (fig. 10-20)
- countries cannot stay in stage two indefinitely they will either move forward or go back to stage one!!
- compare stats on various countries
B. should population growth be limited?
- See discussion p. 191
- debate
C. other solutions involve “empowering women”
1. economic opportunity
2. access to birth control
D. case studies – China and India – p. 191-192; Iran p. 190
- examples of strategies taken by three different countries - China, India, and Kenya
- ChinaWatch has news on environmental and population trends in China
- China from the Inside - PBS
E. sustainable development is the “key word” (more discussion on this later). The idea of "Smart Growth" is related and has become more common recently
- renewable resources
- alternative energy sources and land use patterns
- backyard conservation - how you can conserve resources
- SmarterGrowth - planning development in the DC region
- EPA Smart Growth page
- SmarterGrowth America
- Sierra Club - reducing sprawl
- more links